Iran Bombing Threat: Creating a Mindset that Leads to War – by Chris Iosso

Read Bruce Gillette’s Essay, “A Response to ‘Iran Bombing Threat'”
Read Ray Roberts’ Essay, “A Response to ‘Iran Bombing Threat'”

Read this article as published on Unbound

The first thing one encoun­ters in dis­cussing the war drum­beat tar­get­ing Iran is the one-sidedness of the debate. Glenn Green­wald of Salon gives a quick sum­mary on this point, and James Wall, for­mer Chris­t­ian Cen­tury edi­tor, describes the same real­ity. This sug­gests that the talk of war with Iran, though help­fully called, “loose talk,” by Pres­i­dent Obama in his Sun­day, March 4, speech to the Amer­i­can Israeli Pub­lic Affairs Com­mit­tee (AIPAC), is actu­ally quite delib­er­ate and orches­trated talk designed to cre­ate a mind­set favor­ing war. And even if this talk is a repeated strat­egy to dis­tract the U.S. pub­lic from con­tin­ued set­tle­ments or other Israeli polit­i­cal objec­tives, it con­tin­ues to mil­i­ta­rize U.S. for­eign pol­icy and affects our rela­tions not just with Iran, but with the larger com­mu­nity of nations. In prac­ti­cal terms, it keeps us from build­ing stronger alliances to deal with the cri­sis in Syria (for exam­ple) and revives a uni­lat­er­al­ist mind­set that dis­re­gards inter­na­tional law.

The Pres­by­ter­ian Church (U.S.A.) Stated Clerk’s let­ter to Pres­i­dent Obama, sent on Feb­ru­ary 21, 2012, focuses on the basic Chris­t­ian argu­ments against another Mid­dle East war. He under­lines the tragedy of war (think Iraq) and the lack of Just War or Just Peace­mak­ing grounds for war. He does not empha­size what many Chris­t­ian observers know: more uni­lat­eral attacks on Mus­lims and Arabs are likely to increase pres­sure on all Chris­t­ian minori­ties remain­ing in the Mid­dle East. It is heart­en­ing to see actions likeGreater Atlanta’s that seek to address the longer term manip­u­la­tion of U.S. opin­ion on Iran, as their over­ture will not be acted on by the Gen­eral Assem­bly until early July.

Read­ers may remem­ber Obama say­ing, as in a Jan­u­ary 31, 2008, debate with Sen­a­tor Clin­ton on Iraq, “I don’t want to just end the war, but I want to end the mind­set that got us into war in the first place.” Well, more nakedly than usual, the U.S. pub­lic has been treated to the spec­ta­cle of high offi­cials and a lobby linked to another coun­try seek­ing to pro­pel the United States intoPeace sign asking Who would Jesus bomb? (trick question)another Mid­dle East­ern war. The major­ity of those allowed into print demo­nize Iran and treat as nat­ural the pos­si­bil­ity of bomb­ing a coun­try that actu­ally allows inspec­tion of its nuclear facil­i­ties and is a sig­na­tory to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. Gen­eral Dempsey, Defense Sec­re­tary Panetta, and some Israeli for­mer intel­li­gence offi­cials point out that Iran does not have a nuclear bomb. Israel itself is not a signer of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation treaty, though is widely known to have a siz­able unde­clared nuclear weapons program.

Steven Walt, a polit­i­cal sci­ence “Real­ist,” ana­lyzes Iran’s pos­si­ble desire to have the capac­ity to build a bomb; hav­ing “capac­ity” has not mer­ited being bombed in the past. The step beyond capac­ity to actual pos­ses­sion seems to be the trig­ger for war with Iran that the U.S. Pres­i­dent has sig­naled, with the repeated mantra that “all options are on the table.” This is a posi­tion that osten­si­bly rules out containment—a suc­cess­ful strat­egy with the Soviet Union and a num­ber of other coun­tries for many years. It is a posi­tion that sug­gests that the Iran­ian lead­er­ship might ini­ti­ate a sui­ci­dal war—though Iran has not attacked any other coun­try for gen­er­a­tions, unlike other nations that may come to mind. For Walt and Mearsheimer, the pri­mary threat to Israel’s exis­tence is not Iran but the con­tin­u­ing occu­pa­tion of Pales­tine, which is chang­ing the nature of Israel into a more war­like and exclu­sivist state.

Pro­fes­sor Juan Cole, a Mid­dle East his­to­rian at the Uni­ver­sity of Michi­gan, ana­lyzes the polit­i­cal and human­i­tar­ian impact of the sanc­tions on Iran. At a cer­tain point, sanc­tions become an act of war, pre­vent­ing rather than encour­ag­ing diplo­macy. Com­men­ta­tors dis­agree as to how much sanc­tions harden opin­ion behind the Iran­ian leadership—leadership that was sig­nif­i­cantly weak­ened by a pop­u­lar effort at Green Rev­o­lu­tion in 2009—and soften the capac­ity of Iran’s mid­dle class to take action. Despite Pres­i­dent Obama’s words about “loose talk,” the tight­en­ing noose of sanc­tions puts mil­lions of Iran­ian cit­i­zens under eco­nomic duress for for­eign pol­icy gains that are unclear, even for Israel’s Likud-led coali­tion lead­er­ship, which can boast of set­ting U.S. pri­or­i­ties in a U.S. elec­tion year. (Gideon Levy of Haaretz writes with sur­prise at Israel’s abil­ity to set the terms for the debate in the United States, warn­ing that the U.S. may even­tu­ally con­sider its own pri­or­i­ties. For the amount of U.S. mil­i­tary sup­port to Israel, see the report by Josh Rueb­ner of the U.S. Cam­paign to End the Israeli Occupation.)

The cur­rent March/April issue of For­eign Affairs mag­a­zine con­tains an arti­cle, “Clear and Present Safety,” that illu­mi­nates the over­all exag­ger­a­tion of mil­i­tary threats to the United States per­va­sive in U.S. pol­i­tics and mil­i­tary spend­ing jus­ti­fi­ca­tions. Authors Micah Zenko and Michael A. Cohen main­tain that despite polit­i­cal and eco­nomic inse­cu­ri­ties, and a con­tin­u­ously stoked fear of ter­ror­ism, the U.S. is vastly stronger than any poten­tial threat within “a world with fewer vio­lent con­flicts and greater polit­i­cal free­dom than at vir­tu­ally any other point in human his­tory” (p. 80). As for a threat from Iran, “then the U.S. can breathe easy: Iran is a weak mil­i­tary power. Accord­ing to the Inter­na­tional Insti­tute for Strate­gic Stud­ies, Iran’s ‘mil­i­tary forces have almost no mod­ern armor, artillery, air­craft or major com­bat ships, and UN sanc­tions will likely obstruct the pur­chase of high-technology weapons for the fore­see­able future’” (p. 87).

Most U.S. denom­i­na­tional lead­ers had the courage in 2002 and 2003 to oppose the Iraq war, and they were proven right. That war, pro­moted by many of the same peo­ple pro­mot­ing war with Iran, involved delib­er­ate fal­si­fi­ca­tion of intel­li­gence, actual igno­rance of reli­gious and eth­nic dynam­ics, mas­sive cor­rup­tion and mis­man­age­ment, and led to thou­sands of deaths, a vir­tual failed state, and a rise in ter­ror­ism. The lessons of that war are sim­ply being dis­re­garded. How­ever deluded the semi-figurehead Pres­i­dent of Iran, Mah­moud Ahmadine­jad, may be, his pos­tur­ings do not equal an actual nuclear weapons pro­gram. They point to a nuclear enrich­ment pro­gram that is a sym­bol of national pride in a world that still cel­e­brates nuclear power and allows nuclear weapons to pro­lif­er­ate. On the other hand, if we sim­ply want the price of oil to rise and weaken the U.S. recovery—a clear polit­i­cal goal for some—then we should con­tinue this delib­er­ate war talk and con­tinue to tighten sanctions.

The Rev. Dr. Chris­t­ian Iosso is the Coor­di­na­tor of the Advi­sory Com­mit­tee on Social Wit­ness Pol­icy of the Pres­by­ter­ian Church (U.S.A.) and the Senior Edi­tor of Unbound. His Mas­ter of Divin­ity comes from Prince­ton The­o­log­i­cal Sem­i­nary and his Ph.D., from Union The­o­log­i­cal Sem­i­nary in New York City.

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